Stock & Commodity tips.

Today's Calls

Name	Time	Segment	Sell/Buy	Lot Size	Price	T1	SL	Exit Price	P/L
L&T	9:30	F&O	Buy	250	827.35-828	836	823.5	838	2500
Bank Nifty	9:40	F&O	Sell	25	10400-10425	10280	10525	10255	3875
Yes Bank	9:45	F&O	Sell	500	339.25-340	333.5	343.5	332.25	3625
L&T	10:30	F&O	Sell	250	837.50-838.25	833	842.5	833	1250
Crude	10:40	MCX	Buy	100	6362-6365	6392	6352	6395	3100
Silver mini	11:20	MCX	Buy	5	49490-49450	49770	49480	49800	1675
Jet Airways	12:51	Cash	Sell	1000	373.5-374.25	359	385	359	14600
Axis Bank	13:10	F&O	Sell	250	1088-1091	1077	1097	1073	3750
Crude	13:45	MCX	Sell	100	6406-6408	6401	6412	6401	500
Crude	15:10	MCX	Buy	100	6425-6422	6445	6411	6450	2700
Natural Gas	15:15	MCX	Buy	1250	226.7-226.2	228.3	225.5	228	1500
Crude	16:10	MCX	Sell	100	6439-6442	6428	6450	6427	1400
							Net P/L		37975

Kindly note: Brokerage is not included in the above calculation. 

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Stock tips.

Today's Calls

Name	Time	Segment	Sell/Buy	Lot Size	Price	T1	SL	Exit Price	P/L
Yes Bank	9:30	F&O	Sell	500	313.65-314.15	310.8	317	310.8	1425
ITC	11:00	F&O	Buy	1000	336.8-336.5	339.3	333.5	339.25	2450
Silver	12:00	MCX	Buy	30	48670-620	48850	48500	48500	-4500
Bank Nifty	12:10	F&O	Buy	25	9965-9930	10120	9885	10145	5000
Tata Steel	12:50	F&O	Buy	1000	CMP 298.10	303	294.75	303	4900
Silver	13:20	MCX	Buy	30	48465-48430	48640	48300	48640	5400
Crude	13:20	MCX	Buy	100	6376-6380	6392	6366	6391	1300
Gold	15:30	MCX	Buy	100	29325-29290	29470	29200	29458	22800
							Net P/L		38775

Kindly note: Brokerage is not included in the above calculation. 

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Nifty Update

Nifty 60 mins.

Imperative Moment in Nifty.

After a long advance, Nifty has started showing signs of weakness and currently stands at a crucial juncture.
The above posted 60 mins chart shows the built up of Head & Shoulder pattern with it's NL at 5828. A break below that will push the Indian benchmark index towards the 5550-5600 mark. However, with a major support at 5770.

However, another important point to be noticed is today's gap down opening. This gap will act as a major resistance at 5875. Till the time Nifty does not breaks this gap and moves upwards to breach the 5900 mark things remain on the negative for our index.

An attempt could be made by the bulls to break the gap. Hence, one needs to take caution as all gaps are generally filled.

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Nifty Update

Nifty Daily.

Nifty moved as Anticipated.

Yesterday, nifty closed at 5772. A break below that will lead it further down to approx. 5660 and then to approx. .......... However, the most important thing to be dealt with is the situation if Nifty retraces ...... than .......% of it's previous up move, i.e. if Nifty moves below 5550 levels. If this breaks down, it will create disaster in the market. And then Nifty can even fall till 5200.
( An abstract from my post dated 13/06/2013.)

As mentioned in the above abstract, we predicted that Nifty will create a free fall once it falls below the 5550 levels. The daily chart posted above is a crystal clear evidence of the sharp decline and the Indian benchmark index made a low of exactly 5200 on 20/08/2013. However, the day when we anticipated the 5200 mark; Nifty was hovering around 5770 and the charts were very clearly showing whats on the cards.

As of now, the trend continues to remain bearish. The rise in US Bond yields, commodities, fall in the Rupee against the USD etc. are just cementing and add on factors to the bearish wall which is being built on our benchmark index. Even the Spot Gold is showing bullishness on the charts currently facing major resistance at $1390, a break above this mark can take if further till $1435 as T1 and further till $.......... as our T2. Other commodities are also increasing world wide.

Hence, their seems to be no respite to the fall in Nifty.

In short, one should see if Nifty makes a double bottom at 5200 as the low on 20/08/2013 was just a spike. But a break below 5200 would add fuel to fire, and the Indian benchmark index can fall till 5115 as the next target. And a bounce back from here on would give an upside targets of 5375 as T1 and 5475 as T2.

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Dollar update.

Dollar Weekly.

Bank Nifty Daily.

USD and Bank Nifty moved as anticipated.

As mentioned in our previous posts, USD & Bank Nifty moved as anticipated; and reached their respective targets as evident from the charts above.

USD touched a high of 62.11 while Bank Nifty is perfectly moving in the Fibonacci zones. 

As of now, we continue to remain bullish on USD INR as long as 60.71 is intact while the major trend for Bank Nifty shall be on the bearish side. 

A breakout above 62.20 will advance the USD INR till 62.__ as the first target and 63.__ as our T2.

However, Bank Nifty continue to be  negative can further fall down till 9600, if it does not find support at 9820. 

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Technical Analysis Course in Delhi.

New Delhi Institute of Financial Markets (NDIFM)

Their are three modes in which equity research can be conducted. 

These are:

A.      Fundamental analysis.

B.      Technical analysis.

C.      Quantitative analysis.

Fundamental Analysis is the examination of the future earnings potential of the company, by looking into various factors that impact it’s performance. It is a stock evaluation methodology that uses financial and economic analysis to envisage the movement of stock prices. The fundamental data that is analyzed includes a company’s financial reports and non-financial information such as estimates of its growths, demand of products sold by the company, industry comparisons, economy / world wide changes,  change in government policies, etc.

Technical Analysis can be defined as an art and science of forecasting future price based on an examination of past price movements. It is the study of human psychology towards the capital markets based on historical price and volume analysis, to recognize patterns in the price behavior in conjunction with other available tools and techniques to forebode the future price action. It is not an astrology for predicting price movements, rather it is based on analyzing the factors of demand-supply of equity/cash, individual stocks, indices, futures, commodities, currency or any other tradeable instrument.

Quantitative Analysis is a method that seeks to understand behavior by using complex mathematical and statistical modeling, measurement and research to arrive at a price valuation of a company. By assigning a numerical value to variables, quantitative analysts try to replicate reality mathematically.

However, the question arises which technique to follow to get the best return on investment?

A close examination of the two methods tells us that fundamental analysis tells us what to buy, i.e. which is the stock where one should invest. While technical analysis tells when to buy, i.e. what approx is the price level to enter into a stock and put in your money.

At NDIFM, we teach you the methodology covering both the investment strategies (Fundamental and Technical), however primarily focusing on the Technical aspects by way of technical charts and then moving on to Derivative Strategies so that even a small investor can gain respectable returns on investment.

For further details about the course, visit:

Technical Analysis:

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Derivative Analysis:

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Dollar update.

USD INR Weekly.

( USD INR and Elliott Waves)

The Dollar Dilemma.

( Growth of USD in INR. since 1913.)

INR Vs. USD
Year	Exchange Rate
1913	0.07692
1925	0.1
1947	1
1952	4.75
1966	7.55
1975	10.4
1980	7.88
1985	12.36
1990	17.5
1995	32.42
2000	45
2006	48.33
2007	38.48
2008 ( June)	42.51
2008 (Oct.)	48.88
2009 ( Oct.)	46.37
2010 (Jan.)	46.21
2011 (April)	44.17
2011 (Sep.)	48.24
2011 (Nov.)	55.39
2012 (May)	56.25
2012 (June)	57.15
2013 (July)	61.53

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Technical Analysis Course in Delhi.

New Delhi Institute of Financial Markets (NDIFM)

Technical Analysis (EOD)

Why us:

An educational institute is a place of knowledge. And knowledge must be imparted with utmost honesty. Technical analysis is basically a study of human psychology towards stock markets. Therefore, it must be taught by people who have gained experience by trading.

Generally, the faculties for Technical Analysis are people having bookish knowledge and do not trade. Our faculty is not only an Analyst but a Trader as well, who trades in the real time environment. And teaches you beyond the limitations of a book, by sharing his personal experience of trading. Hence, helping you to sharpen your technical skills.

Visit the faculty profile:

http://in.linkedin.com/pub/gagan-deep-choudhary/35/a9a/494 

( Also a Faculty for Technical and Derivative Analysis at V-Tips, Prithvi Financial Advisory, Wise Trader, Innobuzz knowledge solutions,etc. in New Delhi.)

Suitable For :

Investors / Traders / Dealers / Sub-brokers / Relation Managers / Asst. Relation Managers / Professionals / Graduates / Under graduates / Retired / Other people willing to earn a living by trading./ Students preparing for CMT(US) I & II / CFT.(India) / M.B.A. (Finance & Financial Markets) / CFA (US and India).

Career Opportunities:

1. Work as a Technical Analyst with Brokerage and Research Firms.

2. Fund Manager - Individual or Institutional.

3. Trader.

4. Massive business opportunities. 

Course Content (EOD):

1. Trader's Environment & Terminology - Introduction to stock market. ( What, why and how)

·                     What are stocks and stock market

·                     How does it operate, Who are the players

·                     Terminologies used in the market ( Nifty, Bull & Bear, Squaring off, Rally, Crash, Correction, Bonus  Shares, Dividend, Book Closure Date, Order Types)

2. What is Technical Analysis?

·                     Introduction , Definition, Advantages and Limitations

·                     Technical vs. Fundamental analysis

3. Basics of Technical Analysis:

·                     The Market Cycle

·                     Basics of Chart

·                     Dow Theory

·                     Support & Resistance

·                     Channels

·                     Types of Trend and Trend line

·                     Fibonacci Ratios, Retracements and Projections.

4.  Moving Average

·                     What is a moving  average

·                     Simple Vs Exponential Moving Average

·                     Crossovers

·                     Moving Average as Support & Resistance

·                     Using Moving Average for trading

·                     Envelopes

5.  Candle Sticks

·                     Construction of a Candle Stick

·                     Importance of Open and Close

·                     Candle Stick Patterns – Single, Double and Triple

·                     Combining  Fibonacci with Candle Sticks

·                     Trading by Candle Sticks

6.  Price Patterns

     Reversal & Continuation Patterns:

·                     Double Top & Bottom

·                     Head & Shoulder

·                     Falling & Rising Wedge

·                     Rounding bottom

·                     Triple Top & Bottom

·                     Cup and handle
·                     Ascending triangle

·                     Descending triangle

·                     Symmetrical triangle

·                     Flag

·                     Pennant

·                     Price Channels
-          Measuring move.

     
7)  Gaps:

·                     Definition.

·                     Break away gap.

·                     Continuation gap.

·                     Exhaustion gap.

-          Island reversal.   

      

8)   Oscillators / Indicators

·                     Relative Strength Index (RSI)

·                     Rate Of Change (ROC)

·                     MACD

·                     Average Directional Index (ADX)

·                     Stochastic

·                     William %R

·                     Trading with Oscillators
-          Bollinger Band

  9) Elliot Wave Theory

  10) Stop Loss

·                     What is stop loss

·                     How to place stop loss

·                     Using Parabolic SAR for stop loss

 11) Volume Analysis.

 12) Inter market Relationship.

 13) Market reaction to news.

 14) Preparing Fact sheet/Research Reports.

Please Note:

1. Fee includes the cost of study material as well.

2. In Home classes or Distance Learning through team viewer / skype also undertaken with little extra fee.

3. Placement assistance provided.

Course Fee: Rs. 15,000/-.

Course Duration: 40 hours.

Course Days: Weekdays / Weekends.

Technical Software's : Spider, Meta-stock, Advance Get.

Call us at +91-8585994465/9958781212 and Register yourself for the demo class.